Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has introduced a bill aimed at lowering the threshold for triggering province-wide referendums on significant issues, including the possibility of separation from Canada. While this move has faced criticism, a recent poll indicates that public sentiment may be more complex than it appears.
Public Support for Independence
A Leger survey conducted between May 16-18 revealed that nearly 47% of respondents in Alberta support the idea of the province becoming an independent country. This figure marks an increase compared to previous polls, suggesting a growing interest in the topic.
- Key Findings:
- 47% of Albertans support independence.
- Only 26% of Canadians overall support Alberta’s independence.
- 55% of Canadians understand the motivations behind Alberta’s desire for separation, despite not supporting it.
This data indicates a willingness among Canadians to consider different perspectives regarding Alberta’s potential separation, even as opposition to independence remains strong, with 62% of respondents against it.
Arguments For and Against the Bill
Supporters of Premier Smith’s bill argue that it could enhance Albertans’ involvement in provincial governance, potentially leading to greater satisfaction with government decisions. Conversely, critics warn that such referendums could foster divisions within the province and threaten Canadian unity.
Premier Smith’s Position
During her announcement at Calgary City Hall, Smith emphasized:
- The importance of allowing Albertans to express their views.
- A willingness to collaborate with other provinces on potential changes before any referendum occurs.
- Plans to enable municipalities and school boards to vote on secession if a referendum to separate from Ottawa is approved.
Leadership Context
Danielle Smith recently won the leadership of the United Conservative Party (UCP), defeating Travis Toews. This leadership change may influence the party’s direction and its approach to issues like provincial independence.
Western Cooperation
In a related statement, Premier Smith expressed a desire for all four western provinces, including British Columbia, to collaborate on what some refer to as "western separatism," which envisions the creation of an independent country called Kanata.
Quebec Sovereignty Poll Results
In a separate but relevant context, a recent poll regarding Quebec sovereignty revealed:
- 71% of Quebecers oppose leaving Confederation.
- 21% support it, while 8% remain undecided.
When asked about the influence of different government levels on healthcare decisions:
- 60% believe local governments have the most influence.
- 22% attribute more influence to regional governments.
- 12% believe national governments have the most influence.
These findings highlight the ongoing complexities surrounding regional autonomy and governance in Canada.
Conclusion
The introduction of the referendum bill by Premier Smith reflects a significant moment in Alberta’s political landscape, with public opinion showing a notable interest in independence. As discussions continue, the implications for provincial and national unity remain a critical concern.

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