Global shares rose on Tuesday as U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to pause threatened tariffs on U.S. imports of European goods sent a positive signal to investors worldwide. Additionally, data showed that consumer confidence in the United States snapped five straight months of decline.
Tariff Delay and Market Reactions
- The tariffs, originally set to take effect on June 1, have been delayed until July 9 following a weekend call between Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.
- This decision led to a relief rally in global markets, with shares rising across the board:
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: rose 1.78% to 42,343.65
- S&P 500: gained 2.05% to $5,921.54
- Nasdaq Composite: climbed nearly two-thirds of one percent
European shares also saw significant gains after data released on Tuesday indicated that U.S.-China trade talks resumed last week amid easing tensions between Washington and Beijing.
Investor Sentiment and Defense Stocks
- Defense stocks led the gains as investors reacted positively to the improving sentiment towards global markets.
- Daniel Genter, president & chief investment officer at Genter Capital Management, noted, "We are seeing a relief rally as more and more there’s confirmation that all this (tariff threat) basically is negotiation tactics that have real teeth although not a bluff."
Regional Market Performance
- UK shares climbed 0.69% following a holiday at the start of the week.
- Asian stocks closed higher overnight, with Japan’s Nikkei index up 0.8%.
Impact of U.S.-China Trade Talks
Data released on Tuesday confirmed that U.S.-China trade talks resumed last week, with China agreeing not to impose retaliatory duties against $34 billion worth of additional U.S. goods for now, including liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Market analysts noted that these developments impacted bond yields:
- U.S. 30-year yields fell eight basis points overnight, marking their largest daily drop since mid-April.
- Japanese long-term yields plummeted almost twenty basis points after reports indicated Tokyo would consider trimming the issuance of super-long bonds following recent sharp rises in yields.
Wasif Latif, chief investment officer at Sarmaya Partners, commented, "It was good news over the weekend at least for the market—with a thirty-day extra time frame for EU tariff negotiation deadline."
Easing Tensions Over Ukraine
Fears regarding Ukraine receded somewhat late Monday when Russia announced it would withdraw troops from its border with Ukraine by July. However, they later backtracked, stating that troops would remain until military exercises finish next month.
- Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov stated, "Russia is still planning military exercises near Ukraine’s border through early July but will pull back troops by then."
- He emphasized that these military maneuvers are part of annual drills aimed at testing combat readiness and reassured that Moscow has no current plans to send troops into any other country.
Despite these reassurances, some analysts remain skeptical due to previous statements made by Russian officials. Michael Kozak, deputy assistant secretary for international security affairs, remarked, "The fact remains we don’t know what happens if things go wrong or if something goes wrong."
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