The leader of Hamas in Gaza, Mohammed Sinwar, was confirmed dead on May 13. Despite widespread rumors over the past ten days regarding his death, Hamas has not altered its behavior in Gaza.
Current Situation in Gaza
-
Hamas Control: The group continues to occupy key areas in central Gaza, including:
- Nuseirat
- Maghazi
- Bureij
- Deir al-Balah
- Gaza City
-
Leadership Losses: Hamas has suffered significant losses within its chain of command. Brigade and battalion commanders have been repeatedly killed and replaced, often multiple times before their successors also fell.
-
Company Commanders: Reports from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and other assessments indicate that company commanders within Hamas are also severely decimated.
Criticism of Israeli Military Strategy
Israel’s military strategy has faced criticism for underestimating Hamas’ ability to repair damage from airstrikes during previous conflicts. A notable example occurred after the 2021 conflict, when it was initially reported that Hamas’ tunnel system, known as "Metro," had been set back years due to Israeli strikes. However, Hamas managed to rebuild it before launching another attack against Israel on October 7.
Historical Context
Historically, wars with Israel have strengthened rather than weakened Hamas’ power structure. Key events include:
- The deaths of influential leaders like Sheikh Yassin and Abdel Aziz al-Rantisi did not immediately impact Hamas’ influence.
- Mahmoud Abdel Rauf al-Mabhouh played a crucial role in acquiring weapons from Iran before being assassinated by Mossad agents in Dubai in 2010.
Future Implications
- Continued Attacks: Despite being significantly weakened following Sinwar’s death, Hamas is still able to launch attacks against Israel.
- New Leadership: Sinwar’s successor is likely to maintain an aggressive stance towards Israel.
- Reassessment of Strategy: The Israeli military may need to reassess its strategy, given how quickly Sinwar was able to rebuild his forces despite being severely injured during an Israeli strike last month.
Challenges Ahead
It remains unclear whether the new leadership will withstand further pressure from both inside Palestine and outside forces, such as Iran, which provides financial support for Palestinian groups like Hezbollah.
Despite these challenges, there are signs that even without Sinwar at the helm, life for Palestinians living under occupation may continue as usual, with ongoing attacks against Israelis until they achieve their goals through armed resistance or political means.
In recent weeks, there have been unconfirmed reports suggesting that Mohammed Sinwar may be dead after suffering severe injuries during an Israeli strike last month, leaving his status uncertain.

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