U.S. Investment in Mexico’s Stability and the Gun Trade Crisis

U.S. Investment in Mexico's Stability and the Gun Trade Crisis

The U.S. has invested over $3 billion since 2008 to help stabilize Mexico and curb its surge in extreme violence. However, the U.S. gun industry and interest group lobbyists have hindered these efforts by advocating for lax regulation and enforcement.

Impact of Gun Trade on Violence

This approach has created mayhem south of the border, boosting:

  • Illegal drug trade
  • Organized crime
  • Human migration at the border

A federal block on firearm trace data sharing, established by the 2003 Tiahrt Amendments, makes it difficult to track the illegal U.S.-Mexico firearms trade.

Research Methodology

To study this issue, researchers gathered records from various sources to create a database of firearms sold by licensed U.S. dealers that were then trafficked to Mexico. These businesses are licensed by the U.S. government to sell or manufacture firearms and ammunition in the United States. They include:

  • Independent gun shops
  • Chain stores (e.g., Cabela’s, Bass Pro Shops)
  • Pawnshops
  • Online retailers (e.g., Guns.com, GunsAmerica)
  • Wholesale distributors
  • Manufacturers (e.g., Smith & Wesson, Ruger)

Data Collection

Researchers obtained two sets of data from Mexico’s Secretaría de la Defensa Nacional (SEDENA):

  1. Nearly 133,000 firearms seized by Mexican authorities from January 2010 until March 2023.
  2. Nearly 5,700 guns purchased directly from American police forces between 2019 and three years prior.

Combining these datasets with information leaked from Mexican government officials revealed that more than 24,000 guns purchased in the United States were later recovered in Mexico after hackers broke into government computers.

Court case files involving small arms trafficking across international borders also provided valuable information on more than 4,200 weapons involved in deals between buyers and sellers on both sides of a transaction.

Findings

However, the ATF was unable to understand who ultimately bought many of these firearms. After removing those records, researchers were left with just under 9,014 fully traced firearms back to specific sellers in the U.S.

The research team used several methods, including:

  • Combining multiple datasets
  • Analyzing almost 13,000 unique firearm IDs linked back to specific U.S. addresses
  • Gathering other evidence such as court testimony and business licenses

Types of Firearms Traced

The types of firearms transported across borders can be understood by looking at their origins:

  • More than half of all firearms traced back to American-made guns.
  • Only about one in three originated from foreign countries like China or Russia.

This suggests that most traffickers are buying their weapons right here in the U.S.

Conclusion

In total, researchers found over 41,055 guns trafficked from the U.S. to Mexico between 2010 and 2022, with most of them coming from a dozen or so states, including:

  • Texas
  • Arizona
  • California
  • Florida
  • Georgia
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Michigan
  • New York
  • North Carolina
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • South Carolina
  • Tennessee
  • Virginia
  • Washington
  • Wisconsin

The findings highlight the urgent need for stricter regulations and enforcement to combat the illegal firearms trade and its devastating impact on violence in Mexico.

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