The UK is bracing for a potentially sweltering summer, with the Met Office predicting a hotter-than-normal season. According to the agency’s latest three-month outlook, there is a twice-as-likely chance that meteorological summer—spanning June 1 to August 31—will be warmer than usual in 2025.
Context of the Forecast
This forecast follows an unprecedented spring that was both the sunniest and driest on record. Seasonal or long-range forecasts provide general insights into expected weather patterns over a three-month period and are run separately from daily forecasts by major weather agencies.
While these predictions cannot pinpoint specific days or locations for rain or other weather events, they offer valuable planning tools for governments, local authorities, and businesses. The Met Office has analyzed forecasts from various global centers and found consistent warnings of an increased chance of warmer temperatures this summer.
Global Consensus on Warming
Multiple forecasting agencies worldwide have echoed this warning, including:
- ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts)
- DTN Météo-France
- Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S)
- NOAA NCEP IRI (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Centers for Environmental Prediction International Research Institute)
- Columbia University International Research Institute for Climate Prediction
- Japan Meteorological Corporation (JMA)
- Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM)
Residents are advised to stay informed about local weather conditions and take necessary precautions to stay safe during potential heatwaves.
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